Colorado 5 House race
Jessica Killin (D) and Jeff Crank (R) are running for the House seat in Colorado 5. Across 2 polls, the Frothier average has Jessica Killin at 42.7% and Jeff Crank at 46.2%, which is Crank +3.5. That gives Jeff Crank a 65% chance of winning, and the race is rated Tilt R.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Killin leads; below it Crank leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Killin (D) | Crank (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy GroupD poll | Jul 21 | 450 LV | 44.0 | 45.0 | Crank +1.0 |
| Global Strategy GroupD poll | Nov 3 | 450 LV | 40.0 | 43.0 | Crank +3.0 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.