Texas 35 House race
Johnny Garcia (D) and Carlos De La Cruz (R) are running for the House seat in Texas 35. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Johnny Garcia at 42.8% and Carlos De La Cruz at 46.3%, which is Cruz +3.5. That gives Carlos De La Cruz a 65% chance of winning, and the race is rated Tilt R.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Garcia leads; below it Cruz leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Garcia (D) | Cruz (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normington, Petts & AssociatesD poll | Aug 31 | LV | 44.0 | 45.0 | Cruz +1.0 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.