California 34 House race
Angela Gonzales-Torres (D) and Jimmy Gomez (D) are running for the House seat in California 34. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Angela Gonzales-Torres at 41.0% and Jimmy Gomez at 38.0%, which is Gonzales-Torres +3.0. That gives Angela Gonzales-Torres a 63% chance of winning, and the race is rated Tilt D.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Gonzales-Torres leads; below it Gomez leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Gonzales-Torres (D) | Gomez (D) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upswing Research | Sep 5 | 403 LV | 41.0 | 38.0 | Gonzales-Torres +3.0 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.