Michigan 13 House race 2026: McKinney vs. Nykoriak polls
Donavan McKinney (D) and Taras Nykoriak (R) are running for the House seat in Michigan 13. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Donavan McKinney at 67.8% and Taras Nykoriak at 20.3%, which is McKinney +47.5. That gives Donavan McKinney a 100% chance of winning, and the race is rated Safe D.
About this race
This is the race for Michigan’s 13th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. Voters decide it on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Frothier has found 1 general-election poll of this race, and the newest ended on October 30.
- Donavan McKinney (Democrat) is at 67.8% in the Frothier polling average.
- Taras Nykoriak (Republican) is at 20.3% in the Frothier polling average.
Where the race stands
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | McKinney (D) | Nykoriak (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center for Strategic PoliticsD poll | Oct 30 | 310 LV | 69.0 | 19.0 | McKinney +50.0 |
Compare with other trackers
See how other poll trackers read this race. These links open their sites in a new tab.
- RealClearPollingLatest House polls and averages
- 270toWinLatest 2026 House polls
- Silver BulletinNate Silver's 2026 House forecast
- FiftyPlusOneHouse general election polls
Questions about this race
When is the Michigan 13 House race 2026?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Who is running in the Michigan 13 House race?
Frothier tracks Donavan McKinney (Democrat) against Taras Nykoriak (Republican).
Who is leading the Michigan 13 House race polls?
Donavan McKinney +47.5 in the Frothier average of 1 poll (Donavan McKinney 67.8%, Taras Nykoriak 20.3%), as of November 1, 2026.
Who is favored to win the Michigan 13 House race?
Frothier rates the race Safe D. Donavan McKinney has about a 100% chance of winning. That is a probability, not a call.
How recent are the Michigan 13 House race polls?
The newest poll ended on October 30, 2026.
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.