New Jersey 2 House race 2026: Mullock vs. Drew polls
Zack Mullock (D) and Jeff Van Drew (R) are running for the House seat in New Jersey 2. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Zack Mullock at 38.8% and Jeff Van Drew at 51.3%, which is Drew +12.5. That gives Jeff Van Drew a 93% chance of winning, and the race is rated Likely R.
About this race
This is the race for New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. Voters decide it on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Frothier has found 1 general-election poll of this race, and the newest ended on October 10.
- Zack Mullock (Democrat) is at 38.8% in the Frothier polling average.
- Jeff Van Drew (Republican) is at 51.3% in the Frothier polling average.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Mullock leads; below it Drew leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Mullock (D) | Drew (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact ResearchD poll | Oct 10 | LV | 40.0 | 50.0 | Drew +10.0 |
Questions about this race
When is the New Jersey 2 House race 2026?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Who is running in the New Jersey 2 House race?
Frothier tracks Zack Mullock (Democrat) against Jeff Van Drew (Republican).
Who is leading the New Jersey 2 House race polls?
Jeff Van Drew +12.5 in the Frothier average of 1 poll (Zack Mullock 38.8%, Jeff Van Drew 51.3%), as of October 22, 2026.
Who is favored to win the New Jersey 2 House race?
Frothier rates the race Likely R. Jeff Van Drew has about a 93% chance of winning. That is a probability, not a call.
How recent are the New Jersey 2 House race polls?
The newest poll ended on October 10, 2026.
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.