Virginia 6 House race
Beth Macy (D) and Ben Cline (R) are running for the House seat in Virginia 6. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Beth Macy at 29.0% and Ben Cline at 59.0%, which is Cline +30.0. That gives Ben Cline a >99% chance of winning, and the race is rated Safe R.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Macy leads; below it Cline leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Macy (D) | Cline (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient | Sep 30 | 791 LV | 29.0 | 59.0 | Cline +30.0 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.