Rhode Island governor's race
Helena Foulkes (D) and Ken Block (I) are running for governor of Rhode Island. Across 5 polls, the Frothier average has Helena Foulkes at 43.0% and Ken Block at 23.6%, which is Foulkes +19.3. That gives Helena Foulkes a >99% chance of winning, and the race is rated Safe D. The seat is currently held by Democrats.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Foulkes leads; below it Block leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Foulkes (D) | Block (I) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion Diagnostics | Sep 25 | 800 LV | 41.0 | 24.0 | Foulkes +17.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | Sep 21 | 596 LV | 44.0 | 25.0 | Foulkes +19.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | Aug 24 | 741 LV | 42.0 | 18.0 | Foulkes +24.0 |
| Emerson College | Aug 22 | 1,000 LV | 44.7 | 21.1 | Foulkes +23.5 |
| University of New Hampshire | Jun 23 | 630 LV | 38.0 | 19.0 | Foulkes +19.0 |
| Emerson College | May 16 | 1,000 LV | 38.9 | 18.9 | Foulkes +20.0 |
| Opinion Diagnostics | Apr 16 | 802 LV | 33.0 | 18.0 | Foulkes +15.0 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. The average is then blended with how the state voted for president in 2024 and today's national generic ballot. Races with many recent polls lean on the polls. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.