Florida 2 House race
Nicholas Zateslo (D) and Keith Gross (R) are running for the House seat in Florida 2. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Nicholas Zateslo at 40.4% and Keith Gross at 57.3%, which is Gross +16.9. That gives Keith Gross a 97% chance of winning, and the race is rated Likely R.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Zateslo leads; below it Gross leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Zateslo (D) | Gross (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriot PollingR poll | Jul 26 | 922 LV | 39.1 | 58.5 | Gross +19.4 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.