Florida 25 House race 2026: Moskowitz vs. Singer polls
Jared Moskowitz (D) and Scott Singer (R) are running for the House seat in Florida 25. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Jared Moskowitz at 43.3% and Scott Singer at 47.8%, which is Singer +4.5. That gives Scott Singer a 71% chance of winning, and the race is rated Lean R.
About this race
This is the race for Florida’s 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. Voters decide it on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Frothier has found 1 general-election poll of this race, and the newest ended on October 15.
- Jared Moskowitz (Democrat) is at 43.3% in the Frothier polling average.
- Scott Singer (Republican) is at 47.8% in the Frothier polling average.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Moskowitz leads; below it Singer leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Moskowitz (D) | Singer (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National ResearchR poll | Oct 15 | 400 LV | 42.0 | 49.0 | Singer +7.0 |
Frothier coverage
Recent stories from the outlets Frothier tracks that name these candidates.
- Jared Moskowitz wins Democratic primary for Florida's District 25Aug 19
- Jared Moskowitz Fends Off DSA-Backed Challenger in Florida’s Democratic PrimaryAug 19
- Trump Ally Scott Singer Wins Republican Primary in Florida’s 25th DistrictAug 19
- Jared Moskowitz, Centrist Democrat From Florida, Beats Back Challenge From LeftAug 18
Questions about this race
When is the Florida 25 House race 2026?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Who is running in the Florida 25 House race?
Frothier tracks Jared Moskowitz (Democrat) against Scott Singer (Republican).
Who is leading the Florida 25 House race polls?
Scott Singer +4.5 in the Frothier average of 1 poll (Jared Moskowitz 43.3%, Scott Singer 47.8%), as of October 21, 2026.
Who is favored to win the Florida 25 House race?
Frothier rates the race Lean R. Scott Singer has about a 71% chance of winning. That is a probability, not a call.
How recent are the Florida 25 House race polls?
The newest poll ended on October 15, 2026.
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.