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Georgia 11 House race

Updated October 8, 2026 · 26 days until the November 3 election

Generic Democrat (D) and Generic Republican (R) are running for the House seat in Georgia 11. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Generic Democrat at 43.8% and Generic Republican at 49.3%, which is Republican +5.5. That gives Generic Republican a 73% chance of winning, and the race is rated Lean R.

Rating
Lean R
Set by the win estimate
Chance of winning
73%
Generic Republican (R)
Polling average
Republican +5.5
1 poll, newest Sep 11
Frothier estimate
Republican +5.5
Give or take 9.1 points

Where the race stands

Generic DemocratDemocrat
43.8%
Generic RepublicanRepublican
49.3%
Chance of winning
Democrat 27%Republican 73%

How the polls have moved

The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Democrat leads; below it Republican leads.

D+7EvenR+7Sep 14Oct 8

Recent polls

Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.

PollsterEndedSampleDemocrat (D)Republican (R)Margin
Miller Consulting ServicesD poll Sep 11402 LV 45.048.0Republican +3.0

How this estimate is made

Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.

Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.

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