Georgia 3 House race
Maura Keller (D) and Brian Jack (R) are running for the House seat in Georgia 3. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Maura Keller at 43.8% and Brian Jack at 51.3%, which is Jack +7.5. That gives Brian Jack a 80% chance of winning, and the race is rated Lean R.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Keller leads; below it Jack leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Keller (D) | Jack (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VoteNexusD poll | Oct 7 | 301 LV | 45.0 | 50.0 | Jack +5.0 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.