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Georgia 7 House race

Updated October 8, 2026 · 26 days until the November 3 election

Tony Kozycki (D) and Rich McCormick (R) are running for the House seat in Georgia 7. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Tony Kozycki at 41.8% and Rich McCormick at 47.3%, which is McCormick +5.5. That gives Rich McCormick a 73% chance of winning, and the race is rated Lean R.

Rating
Lean R
Set by the win estimate
Chance of winning
73%
Rich McCormick (R)
Polling average
McCormick +5.5
1 poll, newest Aug 26
Frothier estimate
McCormick +5.5
Give or take 9.1 points

Where the race stands

Tony KozyckiDemocrat
41.8%
Rich McCormickRepublican
47.3%
Chance of winning
Kozycki 27%McCormick 73%

How the polls have moved

The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Kozycki leads; below it McCormick leads.

D+7EvenR+7Aug 29Oct 8

Recent polls

Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.

PollsterEndedSampleKozycki (D)McCormick (R)Margin
20/20 InsightD poll Aug 26445 LV 43.046.0McCormick +3.0

How this estimate is made

Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.

Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.

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