Kansas 2 House race 2026: Coover vs. Schmidt polls
Don Coover (D) and Derek Schmidt (R) are running for the House seat in Kansas 2. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Don Coover at 44.8% and Derek Schmidt at 50.3%, which is Schmidt +5.5. That gives Derek Schmidt a 75% chance of winning, and the race is rated Lean R.
About this race
This is the race for Kansas’s 2nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. Voters decide it on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Frothier has found 1 general-election poll of this race, and the newest ended on October 20.
- Don Coover (Democrat) is at 44.8% in the Frothier polling average.
- Derek Schmidt (Republican) is at 50.3% in the Frothier polling average.
Where the race stands
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Coover (D) | Schmidt (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting TeamD poll | Oct 20 | 639 LV | 46.0 | 49.0 | Schmidt +3.0 |
Compare with other trackers
See how other poll trackers read this race. These links open their sites in a new tab.
- RealClearPollingLatest House polls and averages
- 270toWinLatest 2026 House polls
- Silver BulletinNate Silver's 2026 House forecast
- FiftyPlusOneHouse general election polls
Questions about this race
When is the Kansas 2 House race 2026?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Who is running in the Kansas 2 House race?
Frothier tracks Don Coover (Democrat) against Derek Schmidt (Republican).
Who is leading the Kansas 2 House race polls?
Derek Schmidt +5.5 in the Frothier average of 1 poll (Don Coover 44.8%, Derek Schmidt 50.3%), as of October 23, 2026.
Who is favored to win the Kansas 2 House race?
Frothier rates the race Lean R. Derek Schmidt has about a 75% chance of winning. That is a probability, not a call.
How recent are the Kansas 2 House race polls?
The newest poll ended on October 20, 2026.
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.