Nevada 2 House race
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) and David Flippo (R) are running for the House seat in Nevada 2. Across 3 polls, the Frothier average has Teresa Benitez-Thompson at 38.9% and David Flippo at 41.6%, which is Flippo +2.7. That gives David Flippo a 63% chance of winning, and the race is rated Tilt R.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Benitez-Thompson leads; below it Flippo leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Benitez-Thompson (D) | Flippo (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBAOD poll | Sep 3 | 500 LV | 38.0 | 37.0 | Benitez-Thompson +1.0 |
| Strategies 360D poll | Aug 26 | 400 LV | 42.0 | 45.0 | Flippo +3.0 |
| Wedgewood Polls | Jul 12 | 350 LV | 48.0 | 46.0 | Benitez-Thompson +2.0 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.