Ohio 1 House race
Greg Landsman (D) and Eric Conroy (R) are running for the House seat in Ohio 1. Across 1 poll, the Frothier average has Greg Landsman at 47.9% and Eric Conroy at 44.6%, which is Landsman +3.3. That gives Greg Landsman a 64% chance of winning, and the race is rated Tilt D.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Landsman leads; below it Conroy leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Landsman (D) | Conroy (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights | Aug 24 | 509 LV | 47.9 | 44.6 | Landsman +3.3 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.