South Carolina 1 House race
Nancy Lacore (D) and Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) are running for the House seat in South Carolina 1. Across 3 polls, the Frothier average has Nancy Lacore at 39.9% and Jenny Costa Honeycutt at 45.6%, which is Honeycutt +5.7. That gives Jenny Costa Honeycutt a 74% chance of winning, and the race is rated Lean R.
Where the race stands
How the polls have moved
The polling average over the last four months. Above the middle line Lacore leads; below it Honeycutt leads.
Recent polls
Newest first. Polls paid for by a party or a campaign are tagged and count for half in the average.
| Pollster | Ended | Sample | Lacore (D) | Honeycutt (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient | Oct 1 | 837 LV | 40.0 | 46.0 | Honeycutt +6.0 |
| Public Policy PollingD poll | Sep 10 | 536 RV | 40.0 | 41.0 | Honeycutt +1.0 |
| GQRD poll | Jul 22 | LV | 41.0 | 43.0 | Honeycutt +2.0 |
How this estimate is made
Every general-election poll goes into one weighted average: newer, larger and likely-voter polls count for more, and no single pollster can flood it. House district estimates use polls alone, so they carry more uncertainty than statewide races. A win estimate is a probability, not a call: a candidate with a 70 percent chance loses three times in ten. Full method and sources.
Poll data from The New York Times poll database, CC BY 4.0, via PollResults.org. Averages, ratings and projections are Frothier calculations.